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The Next Era of E-Commerce: Structural Shifts, Growth Logic, and AI Transformation

A High-Level Dialogue Between Amazon’s Vivian Zhuang and Dr. Xingwei Hu

Special Feature — As the global digital economy enters a period of structural realignment, we brought together two visionaries to discuss the “Aesthetics of Logic.” Vivian  Zhuang, Senior Product Manager at Amazon and an international E-Commerce Industrial Leader, engages in a deep-dive conversation with Dr. Xingwei Hu, a senior expert at the International Monetary Fund (IMF). A PhD and CFA who was mentored by 2012 Nobel Laureate Lloyd S. Shapley, Dr. Hu brings an unparalleled macroeconomic perspective to Vivian’s frontline technical leadership.

I. The Structural Reconfiguration of E-Commerce

Dr. Xingwei Hu: Vivian, looking at the macro landscape, where do you believe the e-commerce industry stands today? Is this a period of maturity, platform restructuring, or a new tech-driven cycle?

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Vivian Zhuang: I believe we have entered a Structural Reconfiguration Phase. Early e-commerce was about penetration; the mid-stage was about scale. Today, it is about the reallocation of efficiency, trust, and control. Growth still exists, but the competition is no longer about “who runs the fastest,” but rather “whose structure is the most stable.”

Dr. Xingwei Hu: How does this differ from the landscape five to ten years ago?

Vivian Zhuang: The biggest shift is the move from “traffic arbitrage” to “infrastructure stability.” Five years ago, platforms were traffic distributors. In the next 3-5 years, they must become providers of operational infrastructure. Competition has moved from price points to the cost of fulfilment, service, and, most importantly, systemic trust.

II. From 24 Hours to 0.05 Seconds: Reducing Informational Friction

Dr. Xingwei Hu: From the perspective of game theory, your work at Amazon—specifically the B2B automation infrastructure—is about eliminating “informational friction.” How does this fit into your broader vision of industry change?

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Vivian Zhuang: In my experience architecting large-scale transaction systems, the goal is always to transform compliance from a high-latency hurdle into an instantaneous “digital contract.” By engineering verification engines capable of sub-second responses, we are effectively removing the systemic friction that has historically plagued global trade. When verification and compliance become “invisible” and instantaneous, a digital platform transcends being a mere marketplace and evolves into a foundational utility for the global economy. This isn’t just about operational savings; it’s about unlocking global liquidity and establishing a new standard for trust in the digital age.

III. Rebalancing the Two-Sided Market Logic

Dr. Xingwei Hu: As someone mentored by Professor Shapley in economic modelling, I am fascinated by your views on two-sided market logic. Is the traditional “Network Effect” changing?

Vivian Zhuang: The change is profound. Traditional markets emphasised amplifying network effects through scale. Now, the focus is on Managing Marginal Imbalance. If you subsidise consumers too heavily, you squeeze merchant margins; if you are too strict with merchants, you lose supply diversity. The platform’s role is shifting from amplifying transactions to maintaining Systemic Equilibrium.

IV. AI: Reshaping the “Back-End” Decision Logic

Dr. Xingwei Hu: AI is the buzzword of the year, but where will it truly transform e-commerce—the “front-end” experience or the “back-end” operations?

Vivian Zhuang: While the front-end improves experience, the Back-End change is far more revolutionary. AI is moving from a tool for suggestion to the core of decision logic. When AI takes over selection, pricing, inventory, and fulfilment, e-commerce competition shifts from “operational capability” to “systemic capability.” This is where AI truly redefines the industry’s growth logic.

About the Dialogue

Editor’s Note: This conversation is part of a decade-long intellectual exchange between Vivian Zhuang and Dr. Xingwei Hu. Having maintained a professional friendship for nearly ten years, the two experts frequently engage in cross-disciplinary discussions that bridge the gap between industrial product management and advanced economic theory.

Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in this dialogue are personal to the participants and are shared in their individual capacities as industry experts. They do not represent the official positions, strategies, or endorsements of Amazon, the CFA Institute, or any other organisations with which the participants are affiliated.

About the Experts

Vivian Zhuang Vivian Zhuang is a globally recognised product leader and design authority currently serving as a Senior Product Manager at Amazon in the West Coast innovation hub. With a career defined by leading critical growth and merchant-matching initiatives at TikTok, Zhuang has become a pioneer in E-commerce Industrial Design. Her influence is validated by numerous accolades, including the 2026 A’ Design Award, MUSE Platinum, and NYX Gold honours. She is a sought-after Jury Leader for international design competitions and the panel host at New York’s prestigious The Blanc Gallery.

Dr Xingwei Hu, PhD, CFA, Dr. Xingwei Hu is a distinguished econometric expert and financial engineer at the International Monetary Fund (IMF). He earned his PhD in Applied Mathematics from UCLA under the direct mentorship of 2012 Nobel Laureate Lloyd S. Shapley, with whom he co-authored a foundational solution concept for mixed cooperative and non-cooperative equilibrium. A polymath in the digital economy, Dr Hu’s contributions span macroeconomic forecasting, econometric modelling, and AI. He is the architect of the Theory of Dichotomous Valuation and has developed quantitative measures of competitive advantage used in the analysis of global trade wars and globalisation.

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